Try to reflect the moral.. I don’t wanna say average $\frac{dE_{\bar{x}}}{dt}$
– Sam Altman
| Control Cycle Role | Pentadic Stage | Philosophical Prose | Mathematical Invariant | Operational Sentinel Event | Core Data Streams | Decision Threshold/Logic | Digital Flow Element |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calibrator | Being $\mid$ Remembering | Plato’s Unmoved Mover: The state of potential, the stable form (Eidos) of the system before change, defined by its accumulated memory. | $(E, x)$ | Baseline Vulnerability $\mid$ Assess Resource Base | Resilience Index (Land tenure, crop diversity, local buffer capacity). | Defines $R_{\text{local}}$ (Local Resilience) and sets the Instigator’s sensitivity thresholds. | Data (Oracle’s AI Database 26ai): Static and Historical Data Lake |
| Instigator | Disturbing | The Tao’s Breaking: The necessary asymmetry that introduces change; the arrival of the non-linear event. | $E(t \mid x) + \epsilon$ | 1. Soil Moisture Anomaly (SMA) $\mid$ Detect Rainfall Deficit | NDVI Anomaly: Current 30-day mean below $10^{\text{th}}$ percentile. Rainfall Deficit: 90-day accumulated rainfall $>35\%$ below LTM. | $\text{Signal} = 1 \text{ if } \text{NDVI} < \text{Threshold} \text{ AND } R_{\text{def}} > 35\%$ | Pipelines (Microsoft’s Azure): High-Volume Geospatial Ingest |
| Accelerator | Flowing | Heraclitus’s Panta Rhei: “Everything flows.” The conversion of potential energy into kinetic change, following the steepest gradient (the flow of deprivation). | $\frac{dE_x}{dt}$ | 2. Micro-Market Contraction (MMC) $\mid$ Track Goat/Maize Ratio | Goat/Maize Price Ratio ($P_{\text{G/M}}$): Ratio collapse. Market Transaction Velocity: Spike in distress sales volume. | $\text{Score} = \frac{1}{\Delta t} \cdot \frac{P_{\text{G/M}}^{\text{baseline}} - P_{\text{G/M}}^{\text{current}}}{P_{\text{G/M}}^{\text{baseline}}}$ (Measures velocity of capital loss). | Bottleneck (Nvidia’s GPUs): Time-Series Anomaly Detection |
| Governor | Constraining | Aristotle’s Final Cause: The telos or predetermined outcome. The critical limits that channel the flow towards one of two fates (stabilization or cascade). | $\frac{dE_{\bar{x}}}{dt}\pm\sqrt{\frac{d^2E_x}{dt^2}}$ | 3. Clinic/School Drop (CSD) $\mid$ Trigger Targeted Relief | School Absenteeism: Sustained $\ge 15\%$ spike. Non-Emergency Clinic Drop: Spike in non-essential cancellations/postponements. | $\text{INTERVENE} \text{ if } \text{CSD} \ge 15\% \text{ AND } \text{Accelerator Score} > 0.5 \text{ AND } \text{SMA}_{\text{ON}}$ (Confirms positive curvature commitment). | Intelligence (OpenAI’s GPT): Contextual Risk Assessment |
| Regulator | Remembering $\mid$ Being | Pragmatism’s Iteration: The recording and integration of the experience, updating the Eidos to start the next, wiser cycle. | $\int E_x dt + \epsilon_x t + C_x$ | Targeted Intervention $\mid$ Restore Equilibrium | Intervention Type/Cost, Post-Intervention CSD/MMC tracking, Counterfactual modeling. | Value ($\Delta MC$): $\text{Cost Avoided} - \text{Cost of Intervention}$. Feeds $\Delta MC$ back to set $E_{\text{new}}$. | Value (Delta MarketCap): Economic and Humanitarian ROI |